Pre-tourney Rankings
UC Irvine
Big West
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.2#80
Expected Predictive Rating+9.9#52
Pace64.3#293
Improvement+3.9#37

Offense
Total Offense+1.5#134
First Shot-1.5#226
After Offensive Rebound+2.9#15
Layup/Dunks+3.9#40
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#182
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#290
Freethrows-1.8#303
Improvement+4.4#22

Defense
Total Defense+4.7#59
First Shot+4.9#48
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#207
Layups/Dunks+4.1#31
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#288
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#61
Freethrows-0.8#232
Improvement-0.5#212
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round17.7% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen3.9% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.4% n/a n/a
Final Four0.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 12 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1.0 - 0.01.0 - 0.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 2.01.0 - 2.0
Quad 21.0 - 1.02.0 - 3.0
Quad 310.0 - 1.012.0 - 4.0
Quad 417.0 - 1.029.0 - 5.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 345   Idaho W 86-68 98%     1 - 0 -0.1 +10.9 -9.2
  Nov 09, 2018 78   @ Texas A&M W 74-73 39%     2 - 0 +10.0 +8.2 +1.8
  Nov 15, 2018 180   @ Santa Clara W 61-49 67%     3 - 0 +13.7 -8.0 +22.0
  Nov 19, 2018 148   Texas San Antonio W 65-56 68%     4 - 0 +10.2 -7.3 +17.6
  Nov 20, 2018 282   Tulane W 67-55 89%     5 - 0 +5.1 -2.7 +8.8
  Nov 21, 2018 68   Toledo L 60-67 45%     5 - 1 +0.5 -6.3 +6.5
  Nov 28, 2018 35   @ St. Mary's W 80-75 22%     6 - 1 +19.2 +18.3 +1.2
  Dec 01, 2018 37   Utah St. L 65-89 42%     6 - 2 -15.7 -5.1 -10.2
  Dec 05, 2018 197   @ California Baptist W 69-66 71%     7 - 2 +3.4 -4.1 +7.6
  Dec 08, 2018 130   Montana W 60-51 73%     8 - 2 +9.0 -4.9 +15.2
  Dec 15, 2018 304   Denver W 86-52 94%     9 - 2 +22.6 +7.6 +15.6
  Dec 19, 2018 151   @ Eastern Michigan W 52-48 60%     10 - 2 +7.7 -9.4 +17.8
  Dec 21, 2018 69   @ Butler L 54-71 36%     10 - 3 -7.0 -11.7 +3.6
  Dec 29, 2018 198   @ Pacific L 75-84 OT 71%     10 - 4 -8.6 -4.0 -3.5
  Jan 03, 2019 168   UT Rio Grande Valley W 85-74 82%     11 - 4 +7.6 +6.9 -0.1
  Jan 10, 2019 235   UC Davis W 71-69 OT 89%     12 - 4 1 - 0 -5.1 -7.4 +2.1
  Jan 12, 2019 192   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 63-46 70%     13 - 4 2 - 0 +17.8 -4.7 +23.1
  Jan 16, 2019 217   Long Beach St. L 70-80 87%     13 - 5 2 - 1 -15.8 -3.3 -12.9
  Jan 19, 2019 252   @ Cal St. Northridge W 74-68 80%     14 - 5 3 - 1 +3.4 +5.0 -1.0
  Jan 23, 2019 185   @ Hawaii W 75-74 OT 68%     15 - 5 4 - 1 +2.3 -2.2 +4.4
  Jan 26, 2019 312   UC Riverside W 82-64 94%     16 - 5 5 - 1 +6.0 +15.2 -6.3
  Jan 31, 2019 170   @ UC Santa Barbara W 66-62 OT 65%     17 - 5 6 - 1 +6.1 -3.8 +10.1
  Feb 02, 2019 217   @ Long Beach St. W 82-80 73%     18 - 5 7 - 1 +1.7 +7.6 -5.9
  Feb 06, 2019 192   Cal St. Fullerton W 60-53 85%     19 - 5 8 - 1 +2.2 -11.4 +13.8
  Feb 09, 2019 185   Hawaii W 67-56 84%     20 - 5 9 - 1 +6.7 +3.0 +5.6
  Feb 16, 2019 170   UC Santa Barbara W 83-70 82%     21 - 5 10 - 1 +9.6 +11.1 -1.0
  Feb 21, 2019 332   Cal Poly W 74-47 96%     22 - 5 11 - 1 +12.3 -1.1 +15.7
  Feb 28, 2019 235   @ UC Davis W 64-48 77%     23 - 5 12 - 1 +14.4 +2.6 +14.2
  Mar 02, 2019 312   @ UC Riverside W 68-47 88%     24 - 5 13 - 1 +14.6 +1.5 +16.4
  Mar 07, 2019 332   @ Cal Poly W 110-72 92%     25 - 5 14 - 1 +28.8 +30.7 -2.1
  Mar 09, 2019 252   Cal St. Northridge W 86-74 90%     26 - 5 15 - 1 +3.9 +2.0 +1.2
  Mar 14, 2019 312   UC Riverside W 63-44 92%     27 - 5 +9.8 -5.5 +18.3
  Mar 15, 2019 217   Long Beach St. W 75-67 81%     28 - 5 +4.9 +1.9 +3.2
  Mar 16, 2019 192   Cal St. Fullerton W 92-64 78%     29 - 5 +26.0 +31.5 -2.2
Projected Record 29.0 - 5.0 15.0 - 1.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 12.6 0.0 0.1 1.3 46.5 45.9 6.2
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12.6 0.0 0.1 1.3 46.5 45.9 6.2